The recently concluded "Paris Air show" brought to light the growing might of the "Indian Airline industry". "Airbus , Boeing, Embraer etc " have been actively wooing Indian Airliners and they have not been disappointed. Indian Airliners have placed orders close to $22 billion and about 325 aircrafts.
Break Up in descending order of value of deal:
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Air india : $7 billion : 50 Aircrafts
InterGlobe Enterprises Ltd (IndiGo): $6 billion : 100 Aircrafts
Jet Airways : $4.3 billion : 40 Aircrafts (I am also getting figures of $7.5 billion)
Kingfisher Airlines : $2.5 billion : 15 Aircrafts
Spice Jet : 630 million : 10 Aircrafts
Air Deccan : 600 million : 80 Aircrafts (ATRs)
Paramount : 138 million : 5 Embraer Aircrafts
This would keep the "aerospace industry" in Europe and America humming for another decade. With "IA" and "AI" buying aircrafts from America and private airliners buying from Europe, India has done the impossible of pleasing both the dominant economies of the world!
Every "news magazine/new paper" worth its salt is praising the airline industry sky high. Just refer to the article "Of Airport cops and Aviation safety" by Subroto Bagchi in "Business World". (27th June 2005. www.businessworldindia.com).
However, I believe the airline industry in India is built on very shaky foundation and unless we highlight and take corrective action disaster is bound to happen. I have given below 3 major reasons.
1. Creaky Airports:
With the current explosion in airline traffic, Bangalore airport has started to look like a BTS bus stand. I am sure the scenario is same, if not worse in other airports across India. Are the airports designed to handle this much traffic (both passenger and aircrafts?) The answer is a big NO. Right from "passenger amenities", baggage handling to space for more "runways" there is no clear roadmap on how we can expand to handle the forecasted traffic growth.
2. ATC: ("Air Traffic Controller")
These guys monitor the airline traffic and ensure each plane lands and takes off safely. We shall go a bit technical here to understand some of their functions.
"Airways" are airspace corridor between 2 points. For example the airway between Bangalore and Mumbai will be a fixed route. Aircrafts are separated both horizontally and vertically in this corridor. Any mistake by the ATC in assigning the horizontal and vertical separation for aircrafts would lead to at best an Air miss and at worst deaths.
(If you thought this would be a rare occurrence, you could not have been more wrong. Check out http://www.faa.gov/runwaysafety/)
When an aircraft is unable to land due to bad weather or if all runways are busy, ATC places an aircraft in a "Holding Pattern". You guessed it right. Holding Patterns are similar to Airways, but their path would be over an airport. With the explosion in air traffic and consequent strain on runway infrastructure, Aircrafts would be placed like sandwiches, one above the other (separated by about 1000 ft). ATC's have to be very careful when they move the aircrafts between the layers. They need to constantly monitor their radar and communicate with the pilot and ensure that he understands the instruction clearly. Believe me, in real time this is very very difficult.
World over a major cause for accidents or mishaps are "runway incursions", when aircraft A intrudes into the runway of aircraft B. (check out www.faa.gov/runwaysafety/)
There are many new technologies like "TCAS" - Traffic collision avoidance system, "RAAS" - Runway Awareness and Advisory System, "ILS" for landing in poor visibility etc which would help the ATC perform his task more efficiently. Are we implementing these or do we wait for a tragedy to occur before we think of this?
3. "Pilots", "Maintenance Staff" and Planes:
For an airliner, an aircraft is a real estate.(actually each seat)
Faster they turn an aircraft around and make it fly again, more money will they make. Excessive pressures are placed on the maintenance staff to declare the aircraft air worthy. (Please read the anguished cry for help from a staff in "Help Tarun" job section of "Business Today" about 2-3 months back. That poor guy was being pressurized to declare an aircraft airworthy against his judgment) There is severe shortage of pilots (read "India Today" June 20) and pilots with the bare minimum hours of flying required to commander a plane (about 2500 hrs) are being handed the responsibility of flying you to safety. So much for "customer safety".
In this airline industry, there is no "swalpha adjust maadi". Even a small bolt out of place would be catastrophic.
Passengers have to be aware and need to demand better infrastructure from the government. Directorate General of Civil Aviation is the nodal agency and feel free to post your comments to " DGCA" (http://dgca.nic.in)
Next time you buy a ticket from your neighborhood "low cost carrier", remember to ask him about his pilot experience, maintenance cycle, age of the aircraft.
Remember cheap ticket does not mean cheap life (yours nor your families).